Research
 
RECENT AND CURRENT RESEARCH

  of   Boyan  Dimitrov,    Associate  Professor  of  Mathematics

RESEARCH DIRECTED AND/OR PARTICIPATED IN
In the area of Probability Theory I have published works on:
A. Limit Theorems (Mostly related with my PhD Thesis):
- Application of Transfer theorems for random sums of random
variables in solving some limit problems of Renewal theory (uniform renewal limit theorems [11,12,17,105], in the study of transient behavior in Branching processes (with large number of ancestors) and special type of service systems (with fast service [6,10,13,18,22,23]). These works study conditions of the Gnedenko-Fahim theorem, or leading-term asymptotic expansion in the domain of attraction of the steady state of a process, to assess when to replace non-stationary characteristics by stationary ones, and how close the two are.
B. Probability Distributions (an old interest, and continuing research)
- Characterization of Probability Distributions and Stability
of Characterization problems, namely Exponential [45,49,60,71,75,79,93, 97,100], Poisson [89,90,105,109], the logistic distribution [105, and 111], and the introduction of the Almost lack of memory class of probability distributions [80,81,84,86,88,91,92,93,98,99,101,103,105,107,109,113,116], which has a broad impact on applications in environmental modeling, insurance business, financial mathematics and other fields.
C. Stochastic Processes of Special Type and Its Applications.
- Markov Chains and its applications in Probability Modeling. Here belongs the most of the power of Probability Modeling for Reliability, Queuing, Inventory problems, the new Markov Arrival Processes (invented recently by M. Neuts), and more. My book [3] is devoted to this techniques, and other books [1,2,6,11] are illustrating it. The Methods of Complementary event and complementary variable in combination, proposed and used in most of my works on priority queues are broadly based on the ideas of searching an underlying Markov process.
- Studies on Priority queues and Service with unreliable servers
Here belongs the monograph [1] on priority queues issued in 1973, Moscow University, in collaboration with coauthors B.Gnedenko, E.Danielyan, G.Klimov, and V.Matveev. Also the monograph [2], issued in Sofia, 1973 with A.Obretenov and E.Danielyan); the Handbook on Queues [4], 1978, which was translated into Polish in Poland [8], 1989. They reflect an extensive work on Priority Queues I did in my papers [2,5,6,8,9,10,13,14,15,16,18,21,22, 23,24,25,26,27,30,31,32,33,35,38], and more. As a main contribution here I consider the worked out Method of Complementary Events, which allows an interpretation of probability generating functions (the Laplace transform and the conventional generating function for discrete distributions), in combination with the Method of the Complementary Variables, broadly exploited in the cited monographs, and in most of the papers.
- Other Queuing Problems developed to study so called Closed Queuing Systems with Priorities (papers [10,14,26,27,30,]), Asymptotic Methods in Queues [22,23,35], Methods of Discretization [38,39,52,54,57,64], and various approaches to the Numerical Solutions for non-stationary process characteristics [34,36,38,39,48,54,56,64,65,68,74,101,103,111];
- Applications of Queuing Theory for Modeling Computational Systems and their Optimization in a non-reliable environment - were worked out mostly under contracts with Engineers of Bulgarian computer industry, 1976 - 1990, and used later as a source of other research projects. Here is my Doctorate on Mathematical Methods in Queuing Theory, acknowledged in 1986, most of the publications in the previous topics, and also in [34,36,40,41,42,48,51,63,66,70,78,82,101,104,111,117].
- Inventory systems - training, lecturing and supervising graduated projects for students in economics at Economical University of Sofia. Publications [10,21,44,47,59,67,72,85,96,112], and the textbook [6] are results of my work in this area.
- Reliability studies - theoretical and practical works related to redundancy systems [2,3,4,6,7,11,19,117], statistical criterions for testing hypotheses in view of the specific information from reliability data [28,29,37,50,53,59,83,96]; optimization problems when work with non-reliable servers and other items were mentioned in the Applications of the Queuing Theory above. The new stuff essentially is concentrated on the introduction of models with check-points that may save execution time, the use of methods of discretization, the selection of specific statistical methods for standardized use, and the new point of view on reliability systems with random redundancy introduced in [91,117], important for communication systems and computer networks. The development of standardization
documentation for practicing reliability and specialized computer packages for purposes of the Applied Statistics was actively made in years, and reflected in the papers [53,58,59,62,72,76,83,112]. In addition, most of my works in Statistics are related with the respective practical reliability problems [28,29,37,50,53,58,83].
    D. Warranty Analysis.
- Probability Models in Warranty Analysis (with Dr. S.Chukova), is an approach to incorporate the qualitative and quantitative marketing, technical and economical product characteristics in an integrated model and objective function to determine the optimal behavioral parameters of the corresponding models and processes in real world systems. It has been started by Grant 43 - 87 of Bulgarian Science Foundation, and still continues. The works in the field of reliability, noticed above, and the specific works in this field [77,89,90,94,108,110, plus the Dr. Chukova's works] brought us to the collaboration with world known experts like V. Rykov [94], W.Blischke and D.N.P.Murthy (BOOKS # 10, and [108]). Recently an unexpected relationship between warranty modeling and studies on probability distributions in periodic random environment is noticed [90,114,116], and promise good field of application for our class of Almost-Lack-of-Memory probability distributions. In this way, the processes used in warranties, and environmental and financial processes in the insurance mathematics will
be linked, and many problems may mutually gain from the solution for the others. The work continues in collaboration with colleagues and graduate students from Concordia University, Montreal on projects for Cost Analysis in Related Models.
 
E. Environmental Studies.
My interests on Environmental Probability and Statistical
Models and methods of their study were initiated. Modeling for
periodic random data related to water pollution and statistics
for parameters of Probability Distributions with Almost lack of memory property for Studying Environmental Properties, had proved fruitful in most of the work of myself and involved other colleagues. Here belong the most resent papers [88,90,92,98,103,105,107,109,114,115,116,117].
 
    Statistical Studies.
 
Related to Standardization, Applied Statistics, Reliability and Quality
- The work on Standards in Applied Statistics, Statistical Methods in Reliability and Quality Control brought to me a lot of practical experience (1975-1991). Being head of the Laboratory on Statistical Quality Control we developed International (for the former "East Countries"), and National (for Bulgaria) Standards as follows: Standards on Applied Statistics (e.g. Probability Distributions for Applied Statistics, Regression Analysis, Methods of comparing statistical samples), Standards on Reliability (e.g. Estimations of reliability characteristics, Terminology and Symbols, Design of experiments and testing, Tolerances and admissibility), Standards on Statistical Quality Control (SQC) (e.g. terminology and symbols, Statistical estimations of quality parameters of the outgoing production, Methods of statistical sampling from bulk products, Methods of statistical on-line control) and other documents related to the standardization. I wrote methodic (documentation) for practical implementation of the standardized mathematical methods, algorithmic and computational supervision for these methods. Computer programs for SQC, Reliability and Applied Statistics have been created in support of these practically directed works. My Ph.D. student Dimitar Christozov got his degree for the successfully developed program package RELIA-SOFT, where reliability characteristics are estimated from experimentally collected data, and/or field data for item performance. Also Grant #43 (1987-1991) with Bulgarian Science Foundation was awarded in relation to this subject, and involved more researchers in this work. Many of my publications in this field were related with the needs of specific standardization requirements, and with the statistical establishment when these requirements are met. These are the publications from the list [28,29,37,50,53,55,58,83 - for reliability], and [43,50,53,58,59,61,62,69,72,76,83,112 - for quality]. Among the papers related to reliability I would like to mention [50] and [55] where the statistical estimators proposed have the shape of the theoretical intensity function, as stated in the original problem.
- Studies on Statistical Optimization Problems under Incomplete Information [67,87,109]. This topic appeals to a resurrection of the known Markov-Tchebyshev moment problem in the construction of probability measures, and is one of the prospectives for research in the nearest future. Moreover, it has a clear connection with the construction of an Integral Indexes for the Quality of Products (started in [63] with M.Varbanova, I.Stefanov and L.Boneva and continuing be developed in [112]), Contract with INFORMA and the Laboratory of Statistical Quality Control initiated this work, but it is also a good field for further studies. The recent Wuerzburg Workshop (March '99) has shown the actuality and importance of this direction.
    
IMPACT OF THE RESEARCH ON CURRICULA
AND/OR STUDENTS
 
    Research related to my teaching.
   University Textbooks combine teaching and research experience.
  - After years of teaching and practicing Statistics I wrote the book Mathematical Statistics, 1982 (see BOOKS # 5) and the statistical part of the textbook Probability and Statistics for students of natural science at Bulgarian universities (see BOOKS, # 9, and # 12). Another textbook Statistics for non-mathematical students with an emphasize on statistical models and manipulations for non-numerical data is issued at Southwestern Bulgarian University in Blagoevgrad in 1993 (see BOOKS # 10). Also my teaching courses on Markov Processes at the University of Sofia for students in mathematics lead me to the book # 3, and the courses on Inventory Models and Quality Control for graduate students and post-graduate students at the University of Economics and World Economy in Sofia lead me to the writing of the books # 6 and # 7.
      - Work on the Curriculum for university students       is a collective work.
- While heading the Department of Probability and Statistics at the Faculty of Mathematics and Informatics at Sofia University (and 2 years as Dean of the Faculty) Computational Stochastics was added to the curricula for students and specialization at the Department was introduced. And it was result of the collective work of all members of the Department. Also curricula for other specializations in mathematics have been work out (Informatica, new specializations in Mechanics, Post-university education for high-school teachers), and this was result of the work of all departments and of the Faculty Senate.
 Warranty models for complex technical items are field of my new interests too. The PhD thesis work of my student, now colleague, Dr. S. Chukova and my collaboration with her gave the result [Books # 11], which is very useful for thesis work of graduate students in Engineering.
      High-school Textbooks  reflect some teaching experience and personal feeling of the need.
- Through my textbooks for high school students (listed under
# 13-17), basic statistical aspects were introduced to high school students for the first time in Bulgaria.
    Teaching and consulting Statistics, Modeling, or SQC at the University.
- During my first visits at Concordia University I taught Industrial Statistics and Quality Control, and worked under Contracts with the Center for Building Engineering, where I worked out methods for Statistical simulation of dependent random components in cost analysis problems (ref. to Dr. Z. Khalil, and Dr. Osama Moselhi, Tel. (514) 848-3190). Also a model for Statistical factor analysis of real data was
explored. Add here my teaching experience with students of the specialization Probability and Statistics, the teaching of Quality Control, Reliability and Operations Research for students at the Division for Post-Universityy Education and Training of the Economical University of Sofia, my long term tenure as a head of the Laboratory on Statistical Quality Control, the work experience with International Standardization Organization, etc., and you'll understand what brought me to the idea to open The Statistics Clinic at Kettering University for free statistical consulting. It was open in the Fall of 1998 at the Science and Mathematics Department of Kettering University.
Here I work with computers and use almost any available statistical package in my Statistics Clinic, to serve as a consulting office for students, faculty and staff at Kettering University. It really gathers my experience in teaching, theoretical and practical work in years, and also offers (sometimes) new challenging problems to think on. Here also some software I developed for myself in collaboration with Dr. D. Christozov and other colleagues from Bulgaria is available to be demonstrated.
 
Ph.D. THESES ADVISED
- Priority queues with finite sources and priorities (Dr. Khristo Karapenev). Optimal control of the service in systems with unreliable server (Dr. Krasimir Barosov). Numerical approaches in the study of queuing systems with priority, based on time and phase Discretization (Dr. Chavdar Dokev). Minimization of the total processing time in non-reliable process with implicit or explicit breakdowns and repeat actions (Dr. Nikolai Kolev). RELIA - SOFT program system for computing the statistical reliability of operating products (Dr. Dimitar Christozov). Optimization of the inventory characteristics under incomplete information (Dr. Tran Zoan Fu). Optimal control of Winner processes with external actions (Dr. Mariana Beleva). Methods of discretization in the study of queuing systems with unreliable server and priorities (Dr. Petko Ruskov). Probability models in Warranty Analysis (Dr. Stefanka Chukova). Informative parameters in quality studies (Plamen Petrov), others.
Ph.D. students: Krasimir Barosov, Dimitar Christozov, Tran
Zoan Fu, Mariana Beleva, Nikolai Kolev, Tchavdar Dokev.
Master students: At Concordia - Laila De Normand and Faiz Ahmad, and many more back to Bulgaria. 
COLLABORATION WITH OTHERS
Within the Department
At the SM Department of Kettering University I enjoy the collaboration in almost all the areas of my research with Dr. Stefanka Chukova, in the area of Queuing and Production Modeling with Dr. Srinivas Chakravarthy, and in the area of Characterization by analytical means and Optimization (where mostly the technique of differential equations is involved) with Dr. David Green, Jr. Our joint publications in the resent years may give the evidence for the results of this collaboration. This collaboration is an important part of the surrounding that makes me feel better and provides conditions to do research in the frame of very limited time left from our duty to teach much more than colleagues from other universities do.
Within the Institute
The Statistics Clinic is a good source of contacts with colleagues from other departments at Kettering University, to help them in solving their particular problems, and to start working on prospective joint projects. In this way a fruitful collaboration with Prof. Etim Ubong from the Department of Mechanical Engineering, was initiated in 1998, and some results on Design of Experiment (DOE) for a study of the fuel control of a V-6 Buick motor engine have been obtained. A Technical Report is expected, and a paper is in preparation for our findings. One of the most important discovery was that the left bank of this motor is poorly fuel-fed than the right bank, no matter what the fuel speed or load is. This collaboration continues with other projects involving statistics, or DOE in the work of an engineer researcher.
With researchers outside the Institute.
I like work in collaboration with others. It helps me immediately to adopt the current issue, to get a new challenging idea, or just an appeal, to share immediately my results with the closest expert in the field. It started with the collaboration with Dr. Eduard Danielyan during my PhD work in Moscow, Russia, it continued with the collaboration with many others, it continued in Bulgaria in closed collaborative work with my PhD students Khristo Karapenev, Chavdar Dokev, Kosta Yanev, Nikolai Kolev, Tran Zoan Fu, and to certain extend, with Dr. Chukova. This collaboration gave lots of results in my work with the colleagues Apostol Obretenov, Svetlozar Rachev, Maria Varbanova, Ivan Mirazchiiski, Liliana Boneva, Nikolai Yanev, Gero Gerov, Zaprian Zaprianov, Elena Karashtranova, and others. Thanks to them I always felt the friendly, nice and productive environment a young researcher needs in his or her career, especially when starting and gaining experience.
The closeness of my research interests with to those of researchers from other institutions and the occasional contacts with some of them at International meetings gathered me with professors Zohel Khalil and Jose Garrido from Concordia University in Montreal, Canada, with Prof. Jean-Pierre Dion from Universite de Quebec a Montreal, with Prof. Elart von Collani, from Wuerzburg University in Germany, with Prof. Mohammed El-Saidi from Ferris State, Big Rapids, Michigan. Discussions, contacts, live interest to the subjects gave results in a series of joint publications with these researchers. I thank all of them for the good collaboration, for the mutual respect and permanent support and interest in what we were doing, and in what we project to do in the nearest future. Especially I like to thank colleagues from Montreal for their constant initiatives during the years and for the support they gave in the periods if time I needed at most.
 
 
PROFESSIONAL ACTIVITIES
Reviewer of dissertations on Applied Probability and Applied Statistics, Stochastic Processes, Reliability, Queuing, Quality Control, Education in Stochastics and others.
Cchairman of the National Stochastic Seminar at the Union of the Bulgarian Mathematicians, 1979 - 1991.
Associate Editor of "ECONOMIC QUALITY CONTROL" - Journal and Newsletter for Quality and Reliability with managing Editor Prof. Dr. Elart von Collani, Inst. fur Angewandte Mathematik und Statistik, Sanderring 2, D-8700, Wurzburg, GERMANY.
Dean of the Math. Faculty at Sofia University, 1989 - 1991.
Head of the Department of Probability and Statistics, Math. Faculty at Sofia University, since 1989.

Awards: Bulgarian Committee of Sciences, Grant 43 - 87, 1987-1991. Mathematical methods for quality control and reliability studies; Also Grands with Bulgarian Council of Higher Education,
1988 - 1990 (Statistical methods in quality control); With the National Bulgarian Science Foundation,
Grant MM 60 - 91, (Risk theory and applications).
New Faculty Development Grant (NFPDG 160009) at GMI 1995 - 1997.
Granted proposal for an Applied Mathematics Computer Laboratory at Kettering University, August - September 1996, in collaboration with Prof. Joe Salacuse from SM Dept. The Laboratory started in July 1997.

REFERENCES
Prof. Jose Garrido, Dept. of Math. & Statist. Concordia Univ., 7141 Sherbrooke Str. West, MONTREAL H4B 1R6, CANADA, Tel.(514)848-3252 (office) and (514)747-7026 (home). e-mail: GARRIDO@VAX2.CONCORDIA.CA
Prof. Atanas Radenski, R. J. Reynolds Professor of Computer Sci. Dept. of Computer Science, Winston-Salem State University, Winston-Salem, North Carolina 27110, Tel. (919)750-2480, e-mail: RADENSKI@RAMSUN.ACC.WSSU.EDU
Prof. Spiridon Penev, School of Mathematics, Dept. of Statist. The Univ. of New South Wales, P.O.Box 1, Kensington NSW 2033, Australia. Tel. (612)697-2693 (home); (612) 398-8162 (office). e-mail: spiro@hydra.maths.unsw.edu.au,
Prof. Vladimir Tonchev, Dept. of Math. Sciences College of Sci. & Arts, Michigan Technological Univ., 1400 Townsend Drive, Houghton, MI 49931-1295, (906) 487-2068 e-mail: TONCHEV@MATH.MTU.EDU
Prof. Jean-Pierre Dion, UQAM, Dept. of Math., Montreal, C.P. 8888, Canada H3C 3P8; Tel. (514) 987-6166 (office); (514) 671-2423 (home). e-mail: DION@MATH.UQAM.CA
Prof. Zohel Khalil, Dept. of Math. and Statistics, Concordia, Tel. (514) 848-3247 (office); (514) 697-6681 (home). e-mail: KHALILZ@VAX2.CONCORDIA.CA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Updated: June 30th 1999.